News Room - Steel Industry

Posted on 29 Sep 2020

China mills' steel stocks ease, demand steady

Stocks of the five major finished steel products held by the 184 Chinese steel mills Mysteel regularly canvasses emptied for the fourth straight week over September 17-23, thinning by another 0.5% on week to 6.63 million tonnes, mainly thanks to the largely steady demand from steel users and the reduction in output among mills, according to Mysteel’s latest weekly survey.

The five major items comprise rebar, wire rod, hot-rolled coil, cold-rolled coil and medium plate. Among the total, stocks of rebar and medium plate declined by 1.1% and 3.1% respectively on week, while those of other three products increased by varying degrees during the period.

“Some construction contractors returned to the market to rebuild product inventory in preparation for continuing work during the upcoming long holiday over October 1-8 (the National Day holiday) and this has eased the stocks pressure on rebars to some extent,” a market source in Shanghai commented.

Mysteel’s daily survey among 237 trading houses across China showed that their daily trading volume of construction steel comprising rebar, wire rod and bar-in-coil also recovered a little over September 17-23, rising by 3,512 tonnes/day on week to average 221,767 t/d.

Over September 17-23, total production of the five steel products among the surveyed steelmakers reversed down again after their one-week rebound, losing 0.5% on week to 10.92 million tonnes, Mysteel’s weekly survey showed, though the output of rebar witnessed a week-on-week rise of 1% to reach 3.76 million tonnes.

Inventories of the five major steel products at sampled commercial warehouses in 132 Chinese cities also slid further for a third consecutive week to 22.6 million tonnes over September 18-24, down another 1.1% from one week before, according to the survey.

However, domestic steel prices were still under pressure as demand from end-users in September, the peak season for steel consumption in China, has so far fallen short of market expectations, and the declines in steel stocks held by both steelmakers and traders have been slower than anticipated.

For example, China’s national price of HRB 400 20mm dia rebar, an indicator of domestic steel market vitality, continued trending downward, undermined by the negative sentiment in the domestic steel market. The price fell by another Yuan 42/tonne ($6.2/t) on week to Yuan 3,764/t including the 13% VAT as of September 23, the lowest since July 8, according to Mysteel’s database.

 

Written by Nancy Zheng, zhengmm@mysteel.com

Edited by Russ McCulloch, russ.mcculloch@mysteel.com

Table 1 Five major steel products inventories at mills (Sept 17-23)

Product

Volume ('000 t)

WoW (%)

MoM (%)

YoY (%)

Rebar

3,514.4

-1.1%

-7.7%

56.4%

Wire rod

728.6

3.4%

-1.6%

26.3%

HR sheet

1,198.1

0.04%

-1.2%

27%

CR sheet

300.5

2.1%

-7.9%

9.4%

Medium plate

885.7

-3.1%

-3.1%

25.3%

Total

6,627.3

-0.5%

-5.3%

39.6%

Table 2 Five major steel products inventories at traders (Sept 18-24)

Product

Volume (million t)

WoW (%)

MoM (%)

YoY (%)

Rebar

12.16

-1.4%

-1.9%

-

Wire rod

3.09

-4.0%

-8.7%

-

HR sheet

3.74

1.0%

9.9%

-

CR sheet

1.67

1.3%

0.3%

-

Medium plate

1.94

-0.3%

1.8%

-

Total

22.60

-1.1%

-0.7%

-

Note: Mysteel has started publishing the new set of data regarding traders’ steel inventories since March 19 to better represent the market with bigger sample sizes, and the on-year comparisons will be filled up when feasible.

Rebar and wire rod: Sample size is increased to 429 warehouses in 132 Chinese cities from the previous 215 warehouses in 35 cities.

Hot-rolled coil (HRC): Sample size is increased to 194 warehouses in 55 cities from the previous 138 warehouses in 33 cities.

Cold-rolled coil (CRC): Sample size is increased to 182 warehouses in 29 cities from the previous 134 warehouses in 26 cities.

Medium plate: Sample size is increased to 217 warehouses in 65 cities from the previous 132 warehouses in 31 cities.

The old set of data is still available in the separate databank service until March 11 2021.

Source:Mysteel Global